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The Department of Statistics

The Department of Statistics
The RERF Statistics Department provides statistical support to RERF research activities, conducts basic research on statistical methodology applicable to environmental risk assessment, and performs radiation risk analysis using state-of-the-art methods and software to produce radiation risk estimates used in radiation protection worldwide.

We are in the Hiroshima Laboratory of RERF, located atop Hijiyama Mountain, not far from downtown Hiroshima. The buildings are old, but inside we have the latest in computer technology, software, and Internet connection. Hijiyama also affords a spectacular view of Hiroshima and splendid cherry blossoms in the spring.

The Department of Statistics provides statistical support for all research activities at RERF through collaboration with researchers from other departments on study design and analysis. RERF statisticians also carry out research on many of the important and challenging statistical problems that arise in the course of analysis of the atomic bomb survivor data. Statistical research topics of ongoing interest include the development of the statistical methods, models and software for the analysis of survival data (e.g., data on cancer death rates over time); development methods that provide clear and useful summaries of the often subtle and complex radiation effects seen in the survivors; assessment of and adjustment for the effect of errors in survivor dose estimates on risk estimates; the analysis of over-dispersed data that is seen for many biological endpoints considered for evidence of the effects of radiation; and the development and application of methods for the analysis of longitudinal data from the clinical program; design and analysis of family studies; and pattern recognition problems involved in the search for evidence of radiation-induced mutations at the DNA level.

The department is also responsible for the management of the dosimetry system. This work includes: organization and management of the data and computer programs used for dose estimation and the computation of dose estimates for survivors in the RERF study groups.
FY2008 Research Highlights
Continuation of radiation research and risk assessment
Recent studies involve risk assessment for cataracts, cardiovascular disease, and thyroid disease among individuals exposed in utero. Methods continue to be developed for applying Bayesian models for estimating risk using individual data. Research has been initiated on geospatial hot spotting, which has the potential to provide a way to detect spatial patterns in disease outcomes not suggested by current risk and causal models. A new study was initiated on measurement and calculations of atomic-bomb dosage to tooth enamel using spectral deconvolution in the signal processing and analysis of RERF's data on electron spin resonance (ESR) measurements and extension of DS02 to calculate dose to teeth.

Methodology
We have joined outside collaborative efforts on mechanistic models of carcinogenesis focusing on two-stage clonal expansion (TSCE) models of carcinogenesis and leukemogenesis. Under an RERF cooperative agreement with Kurume University, we are continuing to apply joint modeling in examining the causal associations between radiation, inflammatory markers, and postoperative cataract incidence for AHS subjects. Also applied are nested case-control studies with risk set-based subject selection and counter-matching in an effort to increase the power of RERF statistical designs to detect radiation effects and interactions between important risk factors.
Seminars
Resources Links

Research Scientists and their Research Interests

Harry M. Cullings, PhD,
Acting Department Chief
Radiation dosimetry, biodosimetry, and dose uncertainty
Geospatial analysis
Radiation risk models
Statistical consulting
Eiji Nakashima, PhD,
Assistant Department Chief
Overdispersion
Statistical methods for longitudinal data analysis
Consulting
Kyoji Furukawa, PhD
Spatial statistical modeling and analysis of environmental data
Computational statistical methods
Bayes Methods and applications to epidemiology
Wan-Ling Hsu, PhD
(Fixed-term Research Scientist)
Inflammatory indicators and radiation on cancer and cardiovascular diseases
Risk assessment of radiation and epidemiological risk factors on A-bomb survivors
Applied statistical analyses of clinical studies
Munechika Misumi
(Fixed-term Research Scientist)
Multivariate survival analysis
Multistage carcinogenesis models
Statistical consulting
John B. Cologne, PhD
(Fixed-term Research Scientist)
Statistical methods in environmental and public health risk assessment
Design of studies conducted within epidemiologic cohorts
Analysis of clinical and epidemiologic data on health effects of atomic-bomb radiation
Probability of causation

Consultants
·Donald A. Pierce
·Dale L. Preston